Podcast
David Spiegelhalter and the art of uncertainty
We talk to David Spiegelhalter about eggs, politics, coins and his new book The art of uncertainty.
We talk to David Spiegelhalter about eggs, politics, coins and his new book The art of uncertainty.
If you've flipped heads 10 times what's the next flip most likely to be? Bayes' theorem has the answer, not just for the coin, but for the pursuit of science generally.
Trying to make a prediction about the world based on dodgy data? Then data assimilation has the answer!
A game you're almost certain to lose...
Wet cats don't cause umbrellas and umbrellas don't cause wet cats.