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How maths can help you get ahead of the S-curve
The maths behind the S-curves that allow us to tell if a new variant is on the rise.
Thomas House
Thomas House is Professor in Mathematical Statistics at the Department of Mathematics at the University of Manchester and a member of the JUNIPER modelling consortium and the modelling group SPI-M, and contributes to the Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (SAGE).
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Logistic growth: The mathematics of COVID variants
How to tell quickly if a new variant is on the rise.
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Trying to work out the real time incidence of a disease in the middle of pandemic has never been done before, but the team behind the ONS COVID-19 Infection Survey have developed a way to do just that.
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R's not all you need
When it comes to loosening COVID restrictions all eyes are usually on R — but it's also important to take account of prevalence.